Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.029610 0.031901 0.034297 0.036993 0.039947 0.043087 0.046685
2025-02-16 0.025760 0.028995 0.032559 0.036791 0.041696 0.047223 0.053952
2025-02-23 0.023099 0.026856 0.031159 0.036482 0.042926 0.050526 0.060238
2025-03-02 0.021261 0.025373 0.030233 0.036449 0.044253 0.053814 0.066549
2025-03-09 0.019571 0.023864 0.029074 0.035926 0.044796 0.056024 0.071527
2025-03-16 0.018087 0.022466 0.027901 0.035224 0.044963 0.057652 0.075743
2025-03-23 0.016972 0.021438 0.027093 0.034886 0.045510 0.059729 0.080624
2025-03-30 0.016006 0.020526 0.026357 0.034557 0.045994 0.061690 0.085416
2025-04-06 0.015022 0.019522 0.025426 0.033880 0.045915 0.062810 0.089015
2025-04-13 0.014514 0.019123 0.025271 0.034242 0.047289 0.066042 0.095932
2025-04-20 0.013927 0.018577 0.024875 0.034224 0.048087 0.068452 0.101745
2025-04-27 0.013531 0.018270 0.024787 0.034627 0.049506 0.071851 0.109334
2025-05-04 0.012919 0.017634 0.024207 0.034284 0.049794 0.073556 0.114369
2025-05-11 0.012408 0.017119 0.023772 0.034127 0.050345 0.075694 0.120276
2025-05-18 0.011903 0.016585 0.023281 0.033850 0.050681 0.077488 0.125718
2025-05-25 0.011504 0.016187 0.022968 0.033822 0.051396 0.079927 0.132453
2025-06-01 0.011013 0.015630 0.022389 0.033344 0.051342 0.081066 0.136935
2025-06-08 0.010513 0.015039 0.021730 0.032702 0.050975 0.081634 0.140391
2025-06-15 0.010128 0.014606 0.021295 0.032392 0.051138 0.083112 0.145646
2025-06-22 0.009769 0.014199 0.020879 0.032091 0.051290 0.084569 0.150958
2025-06-29 0.009357 0.013693 0.020289 0.031471 0.050852 0.084931 0.154140
2025-07-06 0.009185 0.013554 0.020272 0.031803 0.052090 0.088402 0.163808
2025-07-13 0.008945 0.013299 0.020057 0.031786 0.052703 0.090747 0.171372